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Monday, October 21, 2019

Canadian Election 2019 (last polls)


Final results https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Canadian_federal_election


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(Latest update: October 21, 2019)  http://338canada.com/districts/districts.htm

              Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead
LIB         32    52    23   32     139  
CPC 43    35    22         26     126  
BLQ           3    11     8         12      34  
NDP   9     8     6         12      35  
GRN   1     0     0           1        2  
PPC           0     0     1           0        1  
IND     0     0     0           1        1  

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UPDATED ON OCT 20, 2019 AT 11:38 PM ET


The Liberals remain in a close national race in public support with the Conservatives but are favoured to win the most seats, though probably not another majority government. The New Democrats and Bloc Québécois, after making significant gains in the polls, appear to be hitting a ceiling — but could hold the balance of power in a minority parliament.

Latest polls and projections

Poll averages 
LIB 32.0%up +0.2
CON 31.6%up +0.2
NDP 18.4%up +0.3
GRN 7.5%down -0.5
BQ 7.0%up +0.1
PPC 2.5%down -0.2
OTH 0.9%down -0.2

Seat projections
LIB   137
CON 124
BQ      39
NDP    35
GRN     1
PPC      1
IND      1


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