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Saturday, July 9, 2011

Derek Jeter home run first Yankee with 3,000 hits


Box Score NYY vs Tampa Bay 2011/07/09

MLB story on Jeter's hit


ESPN - NEW YORK -- Befitting his legendary status, Derek Jeter hit a home run to become the first Yankee with 3,000 career hits.
Then he capped a 5-for-5 day with the game-winning single in the eighth in the New York Yankees' 5-4 win over the Tampa Bay Rays.
On a sunny, Saturday afternoon at a soldout Yankee Stadium, Jeter nailed a 3-2 third-inning curveball off Rays starter David Price. The ball was recovered by a fan, 23-year-old Christian Lopez, who returned the ball to the Yankees.
Jeter is the 28th player in major league history with 3,000 hits. In the fifth, Jeter added a double, moving him past Roberto Clemente for 27th all-time. In the eighth, Jeter hit an RBI single up the middle to give the Yankees the lead for good, giving him 3,003 hits. Craig Biggio is the only other player with five hits on the day they reached 3,000.
Jeter, 37 years old and 13 days, is the fourth youngest player to reach the 3,000 mark.
Ty Cobb (34 years, 244 days), Hank Aaron (36 years, 101 days) and Robin Yount (36 years, 359 days) were the youngest to the mark. Jeter reached 3,000 faster than hit-king Pete Rose, who was 37 years, 21 days.
The Houston Astros' Biggio was the last player to reach 3,000, in June 2007. Biggio also accumulated all his hits with one team. Jeter is the 14th player with 3,000 hits for one club.
Former Yankee Wade Boggs is the only other player to nail a homer for his 3,000th hit. Boggs did it in 1999 as a member of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
"Reaching the 3,000 hit mark is another piece of the legacy that Derek has created," Boggs said in a statement Saturday. "It won't be too long now before we are on the verandah in Cooperstown at the Otesaga Hotel celebrating his induction to the Hall of Fame."
It was the first home run the 37-year-old Jeter had hit at Yankee Stadium in nearly a year. On July 22nd, 286 at-bats ago, Jeter hit his last Bronx homer. It was an inside the park homer. His last over the wall homer at Yankee Stadium was June 12, 2010.
On Saturday, Jeter entered needing two hits. In the first, Jeter bounced a 3-2 fastball into the hole at short for a single.
In the third, immediately after Jeter made contact on the 78-mph, 3-2 curveball, Price went to one knee, knowing he might have given up a long ball for No. 3000.
When the ball reached the seats as Jeter made his way down the first base line, Rays first baseman Casey Kotchman doffed his hat. Immediately after Jeter touched home plate, his best friend on the team, Jorge Posada, gave him a huge hug.
The rest of the Yankees poured out of the dugout and the right field bullpen. They all circled Jeter, until finally the crowd broke through a little and Jeter got a huge hug from Alex Rodriguez.
After the first celebration, Jeter receded into the dugout, but the 48,103 fans summoned him out for a curtain call. Many of the Rays stood outside their dugout, clapping with the fans.
Lopez, the fan who came up with the ball, did not want anything for the ball. The Yankees are giving him four Legends seats for Sunday's game and season's tickets for the rest of the season and throughout the playoffs.
A little after 1 p.m. on Saturday, Jeter stepped to the plate with the recorded voice of the late legendary public address announcer, Bob Sheppard, announcing, "Now batting for the Yankees, No. 2, Derek Jeter. No. 2."
The crowd stood on its feet and rhythmically chanted Jeter's name as he faced the hard-throwing Price. After taking a couple of fastballs that could have been called third strikes, Jeter bounced a single into the hole between Rays shortstop Reid Brignac and third baseman Evan Longoria. After Jeter rounded first, the crowd picked up their Jeter chants.
In a luxury box filled with family and friends, Jeter's parents, as well as his girlfriend, actress Minka Kelly, looked on. Jeter's father looked on stoically with sunglasses on, while Kelly had a big smile.
"It was tremendous," Jeter's father, Charles, told YES. "I can't describe how I was feeling. We need a victory, first of all. ... Very emotional for me, very happy for him."
Jeter is the first to reach 3,000 in the uniform of a New York team (Mets, Brooklyn Dodgers, New York Giants). Four of the other 27 players to reach 3,000 hits wore a Yankees uniform at some point in their careers -- Boggs, Rickey Henderson, Dave Winfield and Paul Waner. Waner is the only one to wear it after he got to 3,000.
Jeter, who is in the midst of his worst offensive season ever during his 16-year career, was batting just .262 when he reached the 3,000-hit club. That's tied for the seventh-lowest season average when reaching 3,000 hits.
According to Elias, 17,393 men -- both hitters and pitchers -- have played major league baseball, which puts Jeter in rather distinct company, as just 0.160984 percent of all major leaguers are in the 3,000-hit club. Jeter is also the first of 1,539 men to have ever played for the Yankees to reach that number, Elias says.
Jeter first realized he could be the first Yankee to accomplish the feat "five or six years ago" while looking through a media guide at spring training with his teammates.
"That was mind-boggling to me, (considering) the history of this organization," Jeter said.
"It's a well-deserved honor," Hall of Famer Reggie Jackson told ESPNNewYork.com during a recent episode of Bombers Beat. "And if anyone's gonna be the first Yankee, I'm proud to say that it's Derek Jeter."
Jeter has more hits (32) off Boston Red Soxknuckleballer Tim Wakefield than any other pitcher. His most at-bats against a pitcher without a hit? Fourteen against Jorge Julio, who last pitched in the big leagues with theMilwaukee Brewers in 2009.
Ever since he came up for a cup of coffee with the Yankees in 1995, Jeter has always possessed a classic inside-out swing, often waiting on pitches and driving them into right field for base hits.
"No. It's natural," said Joe Torre, Jeter's manager during the first 12 years of his career, when asked if Jeter's unique swing could be taught. "And not only that, he's got sort of an uppercut too. I always was amazed by the way he used to put balls into the upper tank in right field (at old Yankee Stadium) during batting practice. He's a .300 hitter. He's not afraid to get jammed."
Far away, the tributes began. Longtime Yankees great Don Mattingly, now manager of theLos Angeles Dodgers, saw Jeter's shot on a TV in the clubhouse at Dodger Stadium.
"Only Jeet. Everything's like that with him," his former teammate said.
On Saturday, Jeter because the first Yankee to reach 3,000 hits -- and he did it in style.
Andrew Marchand covers the Yankees for ESPNNewYork.com. Information from ESPNNewYork.com's Michael Mazzeo and The Associated Press contributed to this story.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010

Automatic Negative Thoughts


How to tame the monsters in your mind

Experts call them ANTS - Automatic Negative Thoughts and unless you learn how to stop them, they'll ruin your life

By LOUISE ATKINSON
Last updated at 9:15 PM on 26th December 2010
Ever dipped into the biscuit tin then decided you’ve ruined your diet so you may as well eat the lot? Or thought that because you didn’t get a promotion this year, you’re destined for failure in your career?
You’re not alone. Even the most optimistic person is not immune to negative thoughts, but for some, the destructive chatter of self-doubt can be relentless.
Psychologists now believe that just as feeling embarrassed can cause a physical reaction (blushing) so self-destructive thoughts can lead to ill-health, weight-gain, poor skin and misery. 
Psychiatrist Dr Daniel Amen has spent a lifetime studying how thoughts influence our appearance, energy and diet success. 
Catch-22: Negative thoughts can make negative things happen
Catch-22: Negative thoughts can make negative things happen
His studies have revealed that by flipping negative thoughts to positive, we can transform our lives for the better.
In his new book Change Your Brain, Change Your Body, Dr Amen identifies the infuriatingly common scourge: the ANT (Automatic Negative Thought), which he describes as ‘the little voices that pop into your head and tell you you’re not good enough, not thin enough, a rubbish daughter, mother, worker’.
A few ANTS, he says, can be managed.
But he warns to watch out for ANT infestations — when thousands of negative thoughts start to take over. 
The answer, he says, lies in simple ANT-eater techniques that stop the bugs in their tracks, ensuring they never return. ‘Your brain is a powerful organ,’ he says. ‘If you see yourself as fat, old, wrinkled or forgetful, you boost production of the stress hormone which affects your health, your weight and your mind. 
‘Negative thoughts can make negative things happen. In the never-ending battles, redemption lies in building your own arsenal of ANT-eater solutions. 
‘Develop an ANT-eater in your brain that can eat up all the negative thoughts that come into your head. Whenever you feel mad, sad or frustrated, write down your ANT, then write down what your ANT-eater would say to that ANT to kill it.
Make a pact with yourself to not listen to your ANTS. If you do this, your thoughts will translate into actions and those actions will cause your body to transform into the body you’ve always wanted. Your body follows your mind. It has no choice.’
Stress buster: Try to put a positive spin on anything you can to raise your mood
Stress buster: Try to put a positive spin on anything you can to raise your mood
NINE SPECIES OF ANT (and ANT-eater solutions)
(Watch out for the red ANTs — these ones really can sting!)
ANT: All or nothing
This is the black-and-white thinking that leads you to believe everything is either all good or all bad. It’s the warped logic that dictates that if you miss one day at the gym you therefore have no self- discipline and might as well give up the whole idea of exercise completely.
ANT-eater: Force yourself to acknowledge that one slip-up doesn’t mean you should give up. If you skip the gym one day, make sure you go the next. 

ANT: Using ‘always’, ‘never’, ‘every time’ or ‘everyone’ 
If you find yourself saying ‘I will never lose weight’ you are acting as if you have no control over your actions. 
ANT-eater: Never say never — put a ban on over- generalised words 

ANT: Focusing on negatives
If you find yourself dwelling on negatives at the expense of positives you’ll be more inclined to give up than to persist.
ANT-eater: Try to put a positive spin on anything you can to raise your mood.

ANT: Thinking with feeling
When you assume your feeling about something is true, you may not question it.
ANT-eater: Think with logic instead — look for evidence to support and challenge your view.

ANT: Guilt 
Using the words ‘should’, ‘must’, ‘ought to’ and ‘have to’ allows feelings of guilt to build up and start to control your behaviour.
ANT-eater: Banish feelings of guilt, do what you can, but not at the expense of your own health or sanity, and use the word ‘should’ only when it suits you.

ANT: Labelling
If you label yourself (‘I’m a loser’) you take away your control over your actions and you’ll start to believe your negative labels. This defeatist attitude will then mean you have a tendency to give up easily.
ANT-eater: Avoid labelling yourself, and flip the labels you’re stuck with (‘I am not a loser’). 

RED ANT: Fortune-telling
Predicting the worst even though you don’t know what will happen (‘I know I’m never going to be able to stick to this exercise programme’). These ANTs are very common and can quickly become an ANT infestation. The problem with fortune-telling is your mind is so powerful it really can make these terrible things more likely.
If you allow yourself to get stressed about something, it can depress your immune system and increase your odds of getting sick. In fact, chronic stress has been implicated in a number of diseases.
ANT-eater: Ask yourself what right you have to be a fortune-teller. You don’t know what the future holds. Instead, be curious about the future in a positive way.

RED ANT: Mind-reading
When you think you know what someone else is thinking (‘he’s looking at my bottom, he must think I’m too fat’).
ANT-eater: You have no idea what people are thinking. If someone looks at you it does not necessarily mean they are judging you. 

RED ANT: Blaming others
It’s toxic to blame others and take no responsibility for your own successes and failures. When you begin a sentence with ‘it is your fault’ it can ruin your life. These ANTs make you a victim. 
ANT-eater: You are responsible for how your life turns out. You can’t keep blaming others. 

SUPER-BOOSTER
ANT-eater solution
If your ANT infestation is proving to be particularly bothersome, try this remedy. Write down your ANT — for instance, ‘my skin is so wrinkly and there’s nothing I can do about it’. Then ask yourself: 
Is this ANT actually true? 
Answer: Yes, I have wrinkles. Then ask: Is there really nothing I can do about it? For instance, can I prevent any more wrinkles coming?
How does this ANT make you feel?
Answer: Sad and old.
Who would you be and how would you feel without this ANT?
Answer: I’d feel great, as if I have more control over how I look. 
Now take your original thought and turn it around and ask: is the opposite of my original thought true? 
Answer: So there is something I can do to prevent wrinkles — I’ll start looking into getting more sleep, cutting back on alcohol etc. 
 Extracted from Change Your Brain, Change Your Body by Dr Daniel Amen, published by Piatkus on January 6 at £12.99. To order a copy (p&p free), call 0845 155 0720.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-1341787/How-tame-monsters-mind-Experts-ANTS--Automatic-Negative-Thoughts-unless-learn-stop-theyll-ruin-life.html#ixzz19cNn2vqL

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Bill James dishes on Cy Young, Greinke, etc. ...

Posted on: November 23, 2010 2:17 pm
Edited on: November 23, 2010 5:52 pm
Hot Stove League
In an interview with CBSSports.com's MLB Facts and Rumors, Bill James indicated that while he would have voted for Felix Hernandez to win the AL Cy Young Award,CC Sabathia should have gotten more love. He also added that the Royals should not trade Zack Greinke unless they get two Greinkes in return.

Bill James is an influential baseball writer, historian and statistician who published the Bill James Baseball Abstract in 1977 and helped to usher in the statistical revolution in full force today. James is responsible for such statistics as Range Factor, Win Shares and Game Score. He was also crucial in the understanding that statistics should be adjusted for park factor. James was hired by the Red Sox in 2003 and continues to work for Boston along with publishing the Bill James Handbook . MLB Facts and Rumors profiled some of James' statistical projections for the 2011 season in late October.

Below is the interview with James:

CBSSports.com: If you had a vote, who would you have selected for the AL Cy Young?

HernandezBill James: I would have voted for [Felix] Hernandez; however, I do think [CC] Sabathia got short shrift in the voting. Sabathia got surprisingly little support, presumably because people wrote him off because of the 91-point difference in ERA between Felix and CC. [Hernandez had a 2.27 ERA, Sabathia 3.18.] But of that 91 points, about 60 points is just a park effect. Hernandez WAS the best pitcher in the league, but I think it was close between Hernandez and Sabathia.

Do you think there is an over-emphasis on defense these days? More and more teams are moving away from the sluggers who can't field to more dynamic players that can. On one hand, this is a move towards making baseball more athletic. On the other, how important is it for a left fielder to be a good fielder if the tradeoff is a 10-20 home run swing?

Well, I wouldn't generalize about what other teams are doing, and I could not say whether there is or is not an over-emphasis on defense. Baseball is about:
  • 42 percent hitting,
  • 8 percent baserunning,
  • 37 percent pitching and
  • 13 percent fielding.
Which actually is very close to the numbers that John McGraw put out in 1906; McGraw had pitching at 30 percent, but the game has changed since then, and pitching is more central than it was. 

But these numbers assume a level of competence. I think if you have pitchers, fielders can do a lot to help them keep the score down. If you don't have pitchers, there isn't much the fielders can do. And if you don't have fielders, then you need really, really good pitching to survive.

There's a lot of hype around Field F/X and while it's certainly going to change the game, how significant do you anticipate the changes being? Will fielding finally be able to be quantified in a reliable fashion (or is it already?) or will much of fielding prowess still rely on scouting as opposed to stats?
We can quantify fielding pretty well now. I have a good deal of confidence in the fielding numbers we have now.  

What we do NOT have is the ability to PROJECT fielding reliably. Because we have been looking at batting numbers all of our lives, we know almost intuitively what the range of expectations is. But because the fielding numbers that we have are fairly new to us, we have little ability to anticipate year-to-year variations in performance.

Really, I have no idea what will happen with Field F/X data.   I wish the young people good luck with that.

There's been a lot said about Justin Upton after GM Kevin Towers said he would listen to trade offers for the Diamondback. I read an article by Rob Neyer that essentially put forth the case that there have been many outfielders with Upton's numbers at that age that don't go on to be superstars, and those that are so good at a young age tend to not improve significantly because they are already maxed out on talent. What is your take on that?

If they're giving away Justin Upton, sign me up.

I would have to study Rob's points and research the issue before I would comment on that. Certainly there have been young outfielders who were dominant at a very early age (Cesar Cedeno , Al Kaline , Ted Williams ) who did not improve offensively after that. Upton has not been a dominant offensive player. He was very good one year; the rest of his career, not so good. A 23-year-old hitter 422 games into his major league career... my intuition would be that he would probably improve more often than he would fail to improve. I would guess that if you had 20 Justin Uptons, 15 of them would have better years ahead. But that's a guess.

One thing I noticed while perusing the predicted statlines in your Handbook is the optimism surrounding youngsters like Jesus Montero, Domonic Brown, Pedro Alvarez, etc... I've heard around the internet that the Handbook tends to be too optimistic when it comes to projecting young players with little to none MLB experience. Do you think these concerns are well founded or off base?
If someone has studied the data and can demonstrate that our projections are over-optimistic, of course we'd look at it. If someone speculates that this is true, I'm not really too interested.

Intuitively, I doubt that that is true. Our projection for Jason Heyward last year was extremely accurate -- a few points high on batting average, but an extremely good projection. For Buster Posey, we projected .270 with 11 homers, 54 RBI. He actually hit .305 with 18 homers, 67 RBI. We had projected Jose Tabata at .273. He hit .299. We had projected Tyler Colvin for 4 homers, 17 RBI; he had 20 homers and drove in 56. We had projected Michael Stantonfor .228 with 9 homers, 22 RBI; he hit .259 with 22 homers and 59 RBI. 

As part of the process of producing the Handbook, we look at every projection that we made the previous year, and compare it to what the player actually did. I study those charts every year, looking for any systematic problems. I would be surprised if anyone else actually looks at them as closely as I do after the fact, comparing what the hitters actually did to what we had projected for them, and I would be surprised if we were systematically optimistic on young hitters. 

Other than playing time.

We do systematically use high-end projections on playing time for young players, but that's a choice, and I think it is the only reasonable choice, honestly. If a player MIGHT bat 300 times, we project that he will bat 300 times; if he might bat 500 times, we project that he will bat 500 times. For this reason: that what the reader wants to know is, if this player plays, what kind of player will he be?

We don't have any way of knowing, in October, 2010, how much playing time Domonic Brown will get in 2011. Nobody does, and everybody with any sense knows that. Therefore, trying to guess how much playing time he WILL get is a fool's errand. The question that you SHOULD ask yourself is, "If he does get playing time, how will he play?" If he doesn't get playing time, there's nothing we can do about it.

There's quite a powerful dynamic formed in the Mets with Sandy Alderson as GM and Paul DePodesta and J.P. Ricciardi coming in. What do you think of the Mets front office now? Do you think they'll make a positive and major difference, or was Omar Minaya underrated and/or unlucky?
Those are some really competent people there. Part of the problem is that it is surprisingly difficult to use a small-market strategy in a large market.  The gambles that you might take when you don't have options don't look so attractive when you have the money to pursue better options. You'd be surprised how difficult it is to get around that.

GreinkeDayton Moore calls you up and says he's going to do exactly what you recommend for Zack Greinke. So what do you do? Would it be fair to say Moore should go after top-end minor leaguers who are close to hitting the bigs to align with their own youngsters or should it be best player available?

Well, you can't keep pushing the future away. At some point you have to embrace it and push the start button. The idea that you can get a team of players who are all the same age or about the same age is a chimera, for the most part, and anyway if you do, that's Cleveland in 2007. So if it's me, I don't trade Zack Greinke unless I can get two Zack Greinke's in return.

Scouting vs statistics still inspires a lot of partisanship. Do you think one day both sides can ever co-exist peacefully?

In my experience, we have co-existed peacefully for years. I think that's more of a media debate than a professionals debate. None of us whose butts are on the line are under the impression that we have the whole thing figured out and everybody who doesn't agree with us is just wrong. In my experience, we're all trying to pick up as much as we can from the other guys.

What I don't understand are those that rely wholly on win-loss and ERA and denigrate "advanced" stats. Technically, W-L and ERA are stats too, except they're much older so people are simply used to them. Why is it so difficult for better metrics to be accepted by these people? Natural resistance to change can't be the only answer, can it?
People aren't resisting change; they're advocating a world view. Republicans are not resisting change when they oppose Democratic ideas, they're advocating their own world view, and the same for Democrats; they're not resisting Republicans. Buddhists are not resisting Christianity. 

I probably see the world backward, but... I've always been surprised at how many people will accept new ideas, how many people will consider what you have to say, and how many people will adapt to a new idea. I have always been astonished by how rapidly our way of seeing the world has penetrated the larger baseball universe. I certainly never expected these ideas to have the audience or the acceptance that they have received.

-- Evan Brunell

Saturday, November 20, 2010